The digital economy has become a driving force for global economic development, resulting in high demand for balanced regional development. Using surname distance as a proxy variable for cultural distance, this study examined the impact of cultural differences on the development of a regional digital economy. The results of the analysis of panel data from 31 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2019 indicated that the development of a region's digital economy positively contributes to the development of the digital economy in areas of cultural proximity. Further analysis of the mechanisms of cultural differences in the digital economy showed that cultural distance affects the development of the digital economy in a province through three mechanisms: birth rate, divorce rate, and the share of small families. Moreover, the findings suggest regional, divorce, and demographic heterogeneity in the impact of cultural distance on the digital economy.
Using the census data from 2000-2015 and a pseudo-event study design, we estimate the motherhood penalty in China and explore its association with declining fertility. We find that one-third of working women leave their jobs in the year when they give birth, and the penalty persists for over eight years. The motherhood penalty increases significantly across almost all provinces during this period, and provinces with larger increases in the penalty experience greater declines in fertility rates. Using a mover-based design, we find that the rising motherhood penalty has caused a significant decline in the total fertility rate.
Multi-focus image fusion (MFIF) is a critical technique for enhancing depth of field in photography, producing an all-in-focus image from multiple images captured at different focal lengths. While deep learning has shown promise in MFIF, most existing methods ignore the physical model of defocus blurring in their neural architecture design, limiting their interoperability and generalization. This paper presents a novel framework that integrates explicit defocus blur modeling into the MFIF process, leading to enhanced interpretability and performance. Leveraging an atom-based spatially-varying parameterized defocus blurring model, our approach first calculates pixel-wise defocus descriptors and initial focused images from multi-focus source images through a scale-recurrent fashion, based on which soft decision maps are estimated. Afterward, image fusion is performed using masks constructed from the decision maps, with a separate treatment on pixels that are probably defocused in all source images or near boundaries of defocused/focused regions. Model training is done with a fusion loss and a cross-scale defocus estimation loss. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets have demonstrated the effectiveness of our approach.
WeproposeanODEapproachtosolvingmultiplechoicepolynomialprogram- ming (MCPP) after assuming that the optimum point can be approximated by the ex- pected value of so-called thermal equilibrium as usually did in simulated annealing. The explicit form of the feasible region and the affine property of the objective function are both fully exploited in transforming an MCPP problem into an ODE system. We also show theoretically that a local optimum of the former can be obtained from an equilib- rium point of the latter. Numerical experiments on two typical combinatorial problems, MAX-k-CUT and the calculation of star discrepancy, demonstrate the validity of the ODE approach, and the resulting approximate solutions are of comparable quality to those obtained by the state-of-the-art heuristic algorithms but with much less cost. When compared with the numerical results obtained by using Gurobi to solve MCPP directly, our ODE approach is able to produce approximate solutions of better quality in most instances. This paper also serves as the first attempt to use a continuous algorithm for approximating the star discrepancy.
Recent advances on time series forecasting mainly focus on improving the forecasting models themselves. However, when the time series data suffer from potential structural breaks or concept drifts, the forecasting performance might be significantly reduced. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach called Optimal Starting Point Time Series Forecast (OSP-TSP) for optimal forecasting, which can be combined with existing time series forecasting models. By adjusting the sequence length via leveraging the XGBoost and LightGBM models, the proposed approach can determine the optimal starting point (OSP) of the time series and then enhance the prediction performances of the base forecasting models. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, comprehensive empirical analysis have been conducted on the M4 dataset and other real world datasets. Empirical results indicate that predictions based on the OSP-TSP approach consistently outperform those using the complete time series dataset. Moreover, comparison results reveals that combining our approach with existing forecasting models can achieve better prediction accuracy, which also reflect the advantages of the proposed approach.
This study examines how overconfidence shapes individuals' preference for redistribution. We contend that overconfidence inflates individuals' income expectations, which reduces the perceived benefits of redistribution for these individuals and thereby weakens their preference for such policies. Using data from the 2014 China Family Panel Studies, we find that overconfident individuals are more confident in their future life and exhibit less concerns for economic inequality, healthcare, and social security issues—key proxies for preference for redistribution. These results are more pronounced among less wealthy individuals. In addition, our results remain unchanged after controlling for individuals' trust in government and risk preference. These findings highlight the role of biased belief in shaping individuals’ attitude toward redistribution, offering new insights for discussions on redistributive policies.
Mineral crystallization is central to myriad natural processes from the formation of snowflakes to stalagmites, but the molecularscale mechanisms are often far more complex than models reflect. Feedbacks between the hydro-, bio-, and geo-spheres drive complex crystallization processes that challenge our ability to observe and quantify them, motivating an expansion of crystallization theories. In this article, we discuss how the driving forces and timescales of nucleation are influenced by factors ranging from simple geometric confinement to distinct interfacial solution structures involving solvent organization, electrical double layers, and surface charging effects. Taken together, these ubiquitous natural phenomena can preserve metastable intermediates, drive precipitation of undersaturated phases, and modulate crystallization in time and space.
