We propose a three-stage framework named as Recovery-Informed Strategy Enhancement (RISE) to forecast the recovery of Chinese outbound tourism following the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. The framework decomposes the forecasts into three parts: the initial forecasts, the terminal forecasts and the recovery curve forecasts that connect the two points. We integrate multiple sources of information and employ forecast combination techniques in all stages, enhancing both the accuracy and robustness of recovery forecasts. Compared with conventional forecasting approaches, our framework provides a structured and transparent pipeline to integrate model-based forecasts with expert-informed judgment under structural breaks and high uncertainty. Our findings demonstrate the effectiveness of this framework, offering an adaptable tool for recovery trajectory forecasting in post-crisis contexts.
Ensuring equitable access to healthcare services safeguards individual wellbeing and enhances society’s overall happiness. This study investigates the complex relationships between spatial hospital accessibility, spatial inequality, and urban wellbeing, focusing on the physical dimension of access measured by travel time. Using geospatial and economic data from 13,776 hospitals, this study reveals that inequality in hospital accessibility, as measured by the Gini coefficient, significantly and negatively impacts urban happiness. Additionally, the results reveal a nonlinear, inverted U-shaped relationship between hospital accessibility and city-level happiness, indicating an optimal threshold beyond which marginal benefits decline. Additionally, the results indicate a key mediating mechanism: unequal access drives population out-migration and reduces the permanent resident population. This outcome, in turn, partially transmits adverse effects to city-level wellbeing. These findings demonstrate substantial spatial and contextual heterogeneity, underscoring the need for policymakers to tailor urban health policies that prioritize enhancing accessibility and ensure equitable distribution to foster sustainable demographic stability and overall urban wellbeing.
Awe, a self-transcendent emotion, has been theoretically posited as a precursor to wise reasoning. However, direct empirical evidence supporting this relationship and the underlying mechanism has been limited. In four studies (N = 3700), we examined the relationship between awe and wise reasoning, as well as the mediating effect of self-transcendence, employing cross-sectional, longitudinal, and experimental designs. We consistently found that awe had a lagged effect on (Study 1), enhanced (Studies 2 & 3), and was associated with (Study 4) wise reasoning. Furthermore, self-transcendence mediated this relationship (Studies 3 & 4). The impact of awe on wise reasoning and mediating effect of self-transcendence could not solely be attributed to awe’s predominantly positive nature, and the mediation model was established beyond the influence of self-smallness (Studies 3–4). These findings contribute to understanding the emotional trigger of wise reasoning, the cognitive implications of awe, and its role in promoting wise conflict resolution.
Spiders are renowned for their ecological versatility and silk-based innovations in materials science, yet marine environments remain virtually uncolonized by this predominantly terrestrial lineage. A striking exception is the obligate intertidal spider genus Desis, whose members have evolved extraordinary physiological and behavioural adaptations to persist in wave-swept, saline habitats that oscillate between land and sea. However, the molecular basis of these adaptations has remained largely unexplored. Here, we present a high-quality, chromosome-scale genome of the intertidal spider Desis jiaxiangi, together with a reference genome of the water spider Argyroneta aquatica, integrated with transcriptomic and proteomic data. This multi-omics framework reveals the genomic architecture underlying adaptation to life at the ocean's edge. We uncover expansions of gene families linked to hormone biosynthesis and DNA repair, alongside signatures of adaptive evolution in genes involved osmoregulation, the rate-limiting step of glycolysis, mitochondrial regulation, epithelial tube morphogenesis and circadian rhythm. Notably, we characterize a novel silk spidroin enriched with a unique GVGAKV motif, which may enhance silk hydrophobicity, and detect the duplication burst of hemocyanin genes likely supporting oxygen transport during submersion. Together, these findings reveal convergent molecular strategies for coping with extreme and fluctuating environments, and demonstrate how genomic innovation enables terrestrial lineages to invade marine-influenced ecosystems. Our study establishes Desis as powerful model for understanding adaptation at terrestrial–marine interface.