@article { ISI:000274844500013,
	title = {Exploring the influence of lake water chemistry on chlorophyll a: A multivariate statistical model analysis},
	journal = {ECOLOGICAL MODELLING},
	volume = {221},
	number = {4},
	year = {2010},
	month = {FEB 24},
	pages = {681-688},
	abstract = {A multivariate statistical approach integrating the absolute principal components score (APCS) and multivariate linear regression (APCS-MLR), along with structural equation modeling (SEM), was used to model the influence of water chemistry variables on chlorophyll a (Chl a) in Lake Qilu, a severely polluted lake in southwestern China. Water quality was surveyed monthly from 2000 to 2005. APCS-MLR was used to identify key water chemistry variables, mine data for SEM, and predict Chl a. Seven principal components (PCs) were determined as eigenvalues > 1, which explained 68.67\% of the original variance. Four PCs were selected to predict Chl a using APCS-MLR. The results showed a good fit between the observed data and modeled values. with R(2) = 0.80. For SEM, Chl a and eight variables were used: NH(4)-N (ammonia-nitrogen), total phosphorus (TP), Secchi disc depth (SD), cyanide (CN), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), fluoride (F), and temperature (T). A conceptual model was established to describe the relationships among the water chemistry variables and Chl a. Four latent variables were also introduced: physical factors, nutrients, toxic substances, and phytoplankton. In general, the SEM demonstrated good agreement between the sample covariance matrix of observed variables and the model-implied covariance matrix. Among the water chemistry factors, T and TP had the greatest positive influence on Chl a, whereas SD had the largest negative influence. These results will help researchers and decision-makers to better understand the influence of water chemistry on phytoplankton and to manage eutrophication adaptively in Lake Qilu. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.},
	issn = {0304-3800},
	doi = {10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.03.010},
	author = {Yong Liu and Guo, Huaicheng and Yang, Pingjian}
}
