<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Wei Huang</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Yinghao Pan</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Yi Zhou</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">One-Child Policy, Marriage Distortion, and Welfare Loss</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Review of Economics and Statistics</style></secondary-title></titles><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2025</style></year></dates><urls><web-urls><url><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">https://direct.mit.edu/rest/article-abstract/doi/10.1162/rest_a_01332/116188/One-Child-Policy-Marriage-Distortion-and-Welfare?redirectedFrom=fulltext</style></url></web-urls></urls><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">105</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1341-1355</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">We investigate how exposure to the One-Child Policy (OCP) during early adulthood&amp;nbsp;affects marriage and fertility in China. Exploring fertility penalties across provinces over&amp;nbsp;time and the different implementations by ethnicity, we show that the OCP significantly increases the unmarried rate among the Han ethnicity but not among the minorities. The OCP&amp;nbsp;increases Han-minority marriages in regions where Han-minority couples are allowed for&amp;nbsp;an additional child, but the impact is smaller in other regions. Finally, the deadweight loss&amp;nbsp;caused by lower fertility accounts for 10 percent of annual household incomes, and policy-induced fewer marriages contribute to 30 percent of the fertility decline.</style></abstract><issue><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">5</style></issue></record></records></xml>